2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and choose

The 2012 Euro Cup is as a result of the ultimate four teams, then when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they'll be playing to handle the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between these two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't value earlier times, they are centered on the overall game taking place.
The German squad haven't ever beaten Italy in a competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, just forget about regarding it, earlier times doesn't play a role within our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is the fact that Germany has not won against Italy in the major tournament, but precisely what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it is time for Germany to win as they are the favorite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will probably be a difficult, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong manner with this click here match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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